Machine learning for planetary risk

Ask any place.
See the risk.

pap.earth predicts future risk - hurricane, conflict, earthquake, drought, food stress, and instability - for any place on earth, and tells you what to do before it arrives.

For neighborhoods and frontline communities

Risk rooms for the people most exposed.

Communities · families · local planners

Open a room for a block, a school catchment, or a coastal settlement — then decide together what to verify and who needs support first.

Forecast · evidence · what to do

See your place's risk in under a minute.

Open the pilot Read the API docs

Who it's for

Risk rooms for communities first.

Frontline neighborhoods, mutual-aid groups, schools, and local organizers use pap.earth to brief people who are most exposed — not only households and businesses planning a move or a site.

Machine learning turns live public signals into a plain-language room: what's rising, what to verify on the ground, and who may need support first.

The Risk Room

One question opens a room.

A shared briefing for a place: scores, evidence, and what to do — for a community meeting, a family decision, or a local plan. The panel below is an illustration of that layout.

Oakland, California

Frontline community · flood + heat

Climate74primary

Food52linked

Stability63linked

Action readiness86high

Evidence — example room

NOAAAtmospheric river pattern flagged for the East Bay corridorsample

OPEN-METEOSeven-day precipitation at 2.3× seasonal baselinesample

USGSTemescal creek gauge trending above flood-watch stagesample

GDELTLocal reporting on storm-drain capacity, three sources fusedsample

What to do — brief neighbors on low-lying blocks, check on elders and mobility-limited residents, clear storm drains, and set a community watch before the next front.

How it works

Three steps from question to action.

Ask about a place

Name a neighborhood, a coastal settlement, a school area, or a town — and the risk you care about. Plain language is enough.

ii.

Machine learning builds the room

Live public signals for that place become one plain-language forecast — with confidence and caveats visible, never a single oracle.

iii.

Brief, decide, watch

Share the room in a community meeting, plan for the people most exposed, and set a watch that alerts you when risk rises.

The pilot is open.

Free for community groups, mutual-aid networks, schools, and individuals.