Machine learning for planetary risk

Ask any place.
See what's coming.

pap.earth predicts future environmental risk - hurricane, flood, earthquake, drought - for any place on Earth, and tells you what to do before it arrives.

Simulate · project · act

A machine that predicts environmental risk.

For your street, your route, your supply chain

Every place has a curve ahead. We project it forward — and tell you what to do before it arrives.

Every signal, one forecast

See what's coming in under a minute.

How we forecast

A machine that predicts environmental risk.

Trained on decades of climate and hazard outcomes, pap.earth simulates live environmental signals for your place and projects the curve forward — with the confidence behind every number. Never a single oracle.

Two dozen public sources go in. One forecast you can act on comes out.

The Risk Room

One question opens a room.

Forecast, evidence, and what to do — composed for your place and your decision.

Oakland, California

Flood + heat · one-month lens
Climate74▲ 6 this week
Food52steady
Stability63▼ 2 this week
Action readiness86high
Live evidence
NOAAAtmospheric river pattern flagged for the East Bay corridor
OPEN-METEOSeven-day precipitation at 2.3× seasonal baseline
USGSTemescal creek gauge trending above flood-watch stage
GDELTLocal reporting on storm-drain capacity, three sources fused

What to do — set a watch on the creek gauge, clear storm drains before Friday, plan for a 92° spike midweek.

Signals from
USGSNASAOpen-MeteoGDELTHDXReliefWebWorld BankNOAA
How it works

Three steps from question to decision.

i.

Ask any place + risk

Plain language. We resolve coordinates and the hazards that matter for your decision — your home, your route, your supply chain.

ii.

The model forecasts forward

Live signals become one probabilistic forecast, with model and source checks on every answer.

iii.

Act with confidence

A score, the evidence behind it, practical guidance, and a watch that reaches you when the curve moves.

The pilot is open.

Free for individuals and community groups.